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RE: [Spoiler] Ozeki question

I'm not sure I follow your analysis on Takanohana's promotion to Yokozuna.
Since I wasn't actively watching the sport in November of '94, perhaps you
can clear it up for me.

> From my research, the first two basho that Takanohana won (under the shikona
Takahanada) were as a Maegashira 2 and Komusubi. But even worse, after
winning that first one and being promoted to Sekiwake, he was immediately
demoted to M2 again. I haven't found the record he had for that tournament,
but it is obviously make-koshi.

Rikishi that follow a 14-1 yusho tournament with an under .500 performance
make the Kyokai nervous.

Now on his second yusho, he was promoted to Sekiwake. But then Akebono won
his third yusho and was not promoted. When Akebono won his second straight
yusho, the barrier came down and he was promoted to Yokozuna.

Now was this were the "2 straight yusho" precedent was established? I'm a
little fuzzy on when exactly that mark of success became a strong point to
the promotion of Yokozuna. Regardless, that precedent was established for
Takanohana and all other Yokozuna aspirants at this point.

So now we're up to March of 1993 and in 1993, Akebono was clearly The Man.
Takanohana won the May basho, Ake won the next three and then Taka went on a
win one, lose one run where he won in January, then lost in March, won in
May, then lost in July, and finally won in both the September and November
basho - zensho in both no less.

And then the Kyokai promoted him to Yokozuna.

So, from the information I've seen, I'm not seeing the wait on his promotion
as the Kyokai deciding that "sumo was doing fine why bother?". In fact, I
certainly get the feeling that they would have been very happy to have
Akebono's time as the sole Yokozuna as short as possible. However, they had
established a standard of winning consecutive yusho and Takanohana had yet
to live up to that standard. As soon as he did, he was happily promoted.

Don Sowell

-----Original Message-----
From: Joshua A. Reyer [mailto:jreyer@grn.mmtr.or.jp]
Sent: Thursday, March 22, 2001 11:12 AM
To: sumo@sun01pt2-1523.statgen.ncsu.edu
Subject: RE: [Spoiler] Ozeki question

> -----Original Message-----
> From: owner-sumo@statgen.ncsu.edu [mailto:owner-sumo@statgen.ncsu.edu]On
> Behalf Of Tax7466441@aol.com
> Sent: Friday, March 23, 2001 3:00 AM
> To: sumo@sun01pt2-1523.statgen.ncsu.edu
> Subject: [Spoiler] Ozeki question
> Would an ozeki get promoted to yokozuna with 13-2 yusho
> 14-1 losing yusho in playoff?

Other factors would have to come into play.  How many Yokozuna are there?
Only one, and his chances go up, two or more and his chances go down.  How
many previous yusho does he have?  If he has a prior history of winning it
all, the Kyokai would probably take a chance on him doing it some more.
What was his record in the basho previous to his 13-2 yusho?  If he's always
getting jun-yushos and/or losing in play-offs, that may work in his favor.
What's the state of sumo and how popular is the rikishi?  As the
Chiyotaikai, Dejima and Miyabiyama promotions attest, a crisis in sumo
popularity can sometimes touch off a rash of promotions.  Promotions bring
publicity.  Certainly Wolf Fever helped Chiyonofuji become Yokozuna, even
though he'd won only two Yusho, and not back to back.  By the same token,
during the Waka-Taka boom, the Kyokai didn't feel the need to promote
Takanohana despite his constant taking of the Yusho.  With sumo drawing big,
there was no need to rush his promotion.  I'd say that with only one
Yokozuna, a popular young Ozeki, and sumo popularity slumping, he could
probably get promoted.  Two yokozuna and sumo drawing well, and he'd
probably have to wait...

Josh Reyer